Roman Molodiashin
Wave analysis
AUD/USD is moving within impulse wave A of medium term downtrend (colored royal blue in the chart) from 1.0748. Within this wave there are also five subwaves (colored magenta in the chart) with subwave 5 still developing from 1.0401.The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci expansions off 1.0768-1.0486-1.0665, 1.0665-1.0181-1.0401, 1.0401-1.0152-1.0312, 1.0312-1.0185-1.0263.
Supports:
- 0.9931-27 = confluence area of two super expanded objective points (SXOP)
- 0.9917-09 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and expanded objective point (XOP)
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 1.0312 - this wave is not developed yet, so no resistances are available so far.
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the medium term trend is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (20-25 pips above the current prices) or gets into the overbought area (45-60 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/39304/?x=OUE
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