AUD/USD has finished the whole wave from 1.0231 to 1.0687, according to wave count it is impulse wave 3 (colored royal blue in the chart), and now potential corrective wave 4 is developing against the uptrend from 1.0687. Within this wave we have three subwaves (colored red in the chart) - A, B, and potential C. Subwave C will be confirmed when the price breaks below 1.0525 - top of subwave A.
Now the targets below are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0231-1.0687, and expansions off 1.0687-1.0525-1.0684.
Supports:- 1.0522 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0513 = .382 retracement
- 1.0459 = .50 ret
- 1.0422 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0405 = .618 ret
However if the price breaks above 1.0687 to continue the uptrend the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci expansions off 1.0145-1.0377-1.0231, 1.0231-1.0687-1.0525.
Resistances:
- 1.0807 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0838 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 1.0981 = OP
- 1.0838 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 1.0981 = OP
Overbought/Oversold
The larger wave is now moving down, so it's prefereable to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (35-50 pips above the current prices).
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