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Wednesday, April 4, 2012

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for April 4, 2012


GBP/JPY is developing corrective wave B of medium term uptrend from 133.42 (royal blue in the chart). Within this wave we have three subwaves (magenta in the chart), A, B, and potential impulse subwave C that is developing from 133.32. Within this wave there are three subwaves (red in the chart), and potential impulse subwave C is developing from 133.19. On still smaller level there are A, B, and potential C waves within it (orange red in the chart).
Now the targets below are Fibonacci retracements of 126.48-133.42, and expansions off 133.42-129.94-133.32, 133.32-130.08-133.19, 133.19-130.71-131.92.
Supports:
- 130.39 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 129.95-84 = confluence area of two objective points (OP) and .50 retracement
- 129.44 = OP
- 129.13 = .618 ret
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci expansions off 126.48-133.42-129.94, 129.94-133.32-130.08, 130.08-133.19-130.71.
Resistances:
- 132.63 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 133.82 = OP
- 134.23 = COP


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Overbought/Oversold
The bigger wave is now moving down, so it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (15-20 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (50-65 pips above the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.
Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

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