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Friday, April 29, 2011

GBP/USD wave analysis for April 29, 2011

In general, as expected, test of the 1.6700 resulted in a rebound of the GBP/USD from the high reached earlier by more than a figure. Therefore, we can suppose that at the moment the 4th wave in the 3rd, in the 3rd, 5th (in the 3rd or C) is being formed. If so, in the nearest future the pound will resume upside movement in the direction of the first estimated target level located near the 68 figure level.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27693/?x=OUE  
  

Thursday, April 28, 2011

USD/CHF Bullish Outlook April 28, 2011 (Daily Strategy)

USD/CHF
The strong support situated at 0.8651 has served as a barrier to the strengthening of the Swiss franc, believe that the pair have to try to cross this level and if it fails in his attempt, would result a possible rebound upward, reaching his first weekly resistance situated around 0.8990, we can buy in the current price of 0.8700. Should consider the important support level of 0.8640, as a stop loss in case of continuing the current wave bearish.
The positive deviation of the MACD indicator, adds weight to the positive outlook regarding the pair.
 http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27607/?x=OUE  

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

GOLD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-04-27

Gold is approaching the lower limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1489, suggesting a rebound. However a break of these levels would initiate a bearish trend.
According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity on the levels of 1489 with a 1st objective of 1501, then 1506. A break in 1487 would invalidate this scenario.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27519/?x=OUE


 

EUR/USD Daily Forecast For April 27th / 2011

DAILY  FORECAST :

The EUR/USD is still in a strong Bullish trend situation, this is indicated by the ADX (14) above the 25 lines level, secondly the price traded above the 5 Days & 20 Days Simple Moving Avarage, and thirdly the spot rate is between the Upper Bollinger bands 20 Deviation 2 and deviation 1, all this situation indicates strong Bullish situation, we predict the EUR/USD to take a retracement to the downside before going  up again, after the Royal Weeding of Prince William and Kate approximately next week, because this event will help this pair to be strong. However, today this pair will test the 1.4725 level; if this level is broken too the 1.4750 will be the next target for today; on the other hand if the 1.4658 can be broken down by this pair today it will hold the Bullish situation of this pair today and will bring this pair  to the 1.4625 as the first target and the mark 1.4600 as  the second target.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27493/?x=OUE 
 

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

USD/CAD Bullish Outlook April 26, 2011 (Daily Strategy)

USD/CAD
The United States dollar – Canadian dollar pair is  is showing signs of a potential change of trend in the short term, there is strong resistance at the 0.9565 level, if the price achieves drill, this level and close above this level would increase the Possibility for a bullish move.
The MACD indicator is showing a positive divergence, supporting our expectation upward.
However, the pair can take a break in the second monthly support around 0.9490, would be a good opportunity to buy with a target upward to Monthly pivot line around 0.9780. It is advisable to protect a buy position through the significant support rate of 0.9425 as a break at this level will be an indication of a continued downwards movement.
 http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27407/?x=OUE 

Monday, April 25, 2011

GBP/USD. Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points, For April 24-29, 2011

_____WEEKLY____
Weekly - R3 = 1.7116
Weekly - R2 = 1.6857
Weekly - R1 = 1.6683
Weekly Pivot = 1.6424
Weekly - S1 = 1.6250
Weekly - S2 = 1.5991
Weekly - S3 = 1.5817
_____MONTHLY____
Monthly - R3 = 1.6776
Monthly - R2 = 1.6588
Monthly - R1 = 1.6309
Monthly Pivot = 1.6121
Monthly - S1 = 1.5842
Monthly - S2 = 1.5654
Monthly - S3 = 1.5375       http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27323/?x=OUE 

Thursday, April 21, 2011

GBP/USD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-04-21

The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bullish channel  to 1.6460 suggesting a decline. However a break of these levels would free up significant potential and begin a bullish trend more violent.
According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will have broken its resistance in 1.6460 with a 1st objective of 1.6570, then 1.6600. A break in 1.6430 would invalidate this scenario.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27173/?x=OUE
 

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

EUR/USD candlestick analysis for April 20, 2011

EUR/USD pair is trading up with a target to test the resistance level 1.4520 after a rollback.
It is still trading in an uptrend after it has successfully broken the 1.4278 resistance level. As mentioned before, a break of this level will target the pair to 1.4577.
Earlier in the intraday chart EUR/USD shaped a Bullish Engulfing candlestick combination which is an explicit signal to growth.
Such a candlestick combination points to the growth of the pair for several weeks. However, there was a rollback registered at the 1.4035 level which was a good opportunity to start buying.
Further upside movement is supported by the fact that the uptrend remains.
The break of 1.4035 resistance level proves this viewpoint. Now we should expect upside movement to the resistance level 1.4278.
It is worth mentioning that stop loss orders should be placed slightly below 1.4100 as a break of this level will denote that the uptrend is broken.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27095/?x=OUE
 

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 19, 2011

GBP/JPY is developing corrective subwave 4 (colored orange blue in the chart) within impulse wave C of medium term downtrend - colored magenta in the chart. The latter in its turn is part of wave B of still larger degree - colored light green in the chart. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 136.36-139.90, 136.96-132.90, and 139.93-132.90.

Resistances:

- 134.22 = .382 retracement
- 134.45 = .382 ret
- 134.63 = .50 ret
- 134.93-135.04 = .50 and .618 retracements
- 135.41-55 = .618 and .382 retracements

If the downtrend resumes the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 130.18-139.93, 122.49-139.93, and expansions off 139.93-135.19-136.96, 136.96-135.53-136.36.

Supports:

- 133.27 = .382 ret, already fulfilled
- 132.62 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 132.22 = OP
- 131.21 = .50 ret

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the wave of a larger degree is moving down it's preferable to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (25-35 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (45-55 pips above the current prices).

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26995/?x=OUE


Monday, April 18, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 18, 2011


GBP/JPY is developing subwave A (colored royal blue in the chart) within wave B of medium term downtrend - colored light green in the chart. The former wave has A-B-C subwaves of still smaller degree - colored magenta in the chart, and subwave C is still developing. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 130.18-139.93, 122.49-139.93, and expansions off 139.93-135.19-136.96, 136.96-135.53-136.36.

Supports:

- 135.06-134.39 = confluence area of .50 retracement and objective point (OP), already fulfilled
- 134.05-03-133.90 = confluence area of expanded objective point (XOP), contracted objective point (COP) and .618 retracement
- 133.27 = .382 ret
- 132.62 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 132.22 = OP

If the price reverses up the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the waves down from 136.57 and from 139.93 - these waves are not developed yet, so we can not get Fib levels from them.

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the wave of a larger degree is moving down it's preferable to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (40-50 pips above the current prices).

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26895/?x=OUE

Friday, April 15, 2011

GBP/USD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-04-15

The spot rates approaches the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel to 1.6410. A break of these levels would free up significant potential and begin a rising trend.

According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will have broken its resistance in 1.6410 with a 1st objective of 1.6520, then 1.6550. A break in 1.6380 would invalidate this scenario.


Performed by Albert Fitoussi, Analytical expert
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26801/?x=OUE



Thursday, April 14, 2011

EUR/USD wave analysis for April 14, 2011


Yesterday the EUR/USD continued its attempts to form the beginning of a continuous correction structure in the range of the future estimated 4th wave (in the 5th). At the same time, by the end of the day the price could not test the estimated correction level 23.6%, which might cause further downside movement directed to the targets below the 44 figure level, or even near the 43. Simultaneously, for a more convincing completion of the 5th wave, the euro price will probably make another attempt to pass the 1.4500 level.


Performed by Alexander Dneprovskiy, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26765/?x=OUE

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

USD/JPY Daily Forecast For April 13 / 2011


DAILY FORECAST :
Today the USD/JPY has been trading between the 5 periode Moving Avarage and the 20 periode Moving Avarage and in the range between 83.59 and the 84.21 levels. These two levels have a potential to be tested by this pair today, but if we look at the daily charts, the Stochastic studies is still in a Bearish Mode; so we predict that today the pair will test the support at 83.59 and the 3 days low at the 83.48 level. On the other hand, if the Resistance 84.21 can be broken by this pair today, the USD/JPY will test the 84.50 as the first target and the 84.71 as the second target.


Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26645/?x=OUE

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

GBP/USD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-04-12

The spot rate came to test the upper limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1.6430 and declined. It is now approaching its intermediate support at 1.6270 suggesting a rebound in the short term. However a break of these levels would entail a return to the lower limit of its channel to 1.5990.

According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity on the levels of 1.6270 with a 1st objective of 1.6370, then 1.6430. A break in 1.6240 would invalidate this scenario.


Performed by Albert Fitoussi, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26587/?x=OUE


Monday, April 11, 2011

USD/CHF wave analysis for April 11, 2011

On Friday the USD/CHF currency pair continued downside movement and observed the correction level 76.4% by the end of the day, thus being back to the range of the main downtrend. At the same time, inner wave structure of the wave of current estimated correction has become quite complex and continuous. Given this, we might suppose that this wave is approaching its end, which is probably located near 0.9060 – 0.9050.


Performed by Alexander Dneprovskiy, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26523/?x=OUE

Friday, April 8, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 8, 2011


GBP/JPY is developing potential corrective wave B of A-B-C cycle of corrective waves. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 135.10-139.60, 130.18-139.60.

Supports:

- 137.35 = .50 retracement
- 136.82 = .618 ret
- 136.00 = .382 ret
- etc.

But if the price breaks above 139.60 the current wave up will become subwave C of impulse wave of larger degree. The immediate resistances will then be Fibonacci expansions off 122.49-133.04-130.18, 130.18-133.76-132.38, 132.38-136.03-135.10, 135.10-139.60-137.80.

Resistances:

- 140.58 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 140.73 = objective point (OP)
- 141.01 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 141.75 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term is now up it's preferable to look for longs when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (25-30 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (55-70 pips below the current prices).

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26399/?x=OUE

Thursday, April 7, 2011

The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for April 7, 2011

Overview:
We can see that the euro is still observing the buy signal, correction movement has not started yet, which allows us to trade up. The formed sell signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. Thus, the first target for the upside movement is 1.4315 – the first resistance level, reached already. If this level is passed the second target will be the second resistance level at 1.4395. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.4205), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, thus indicating current upside movement, if it reverses down, long positions should be cut as this will denote the beginning of a correction movement.





Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.4315 and further to 1.4395. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.4205. If the MACD reverses down, it is recommended to cut long positions.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.



The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window. 

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26339/=OUE




Wednesday, April 6, 2011

EUR/USD wave analysis for April 6, 2011


Yesterday the EUR/USD could not develop the recent downside movement and went up from the reached low (1.4155) by almost a figure later in the day. At the same time current wave situation allows further development of the upside movement and forming a more complex inner wave structure of the 5th wave, in the 3rd. Simultaneously, the euro still might resume downside correction in the range of future continuous 4th wave.


Performed by Alexander Dneprovskiy, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26247/?x=OUE

Tuesday, April 5, 2011

USD/JPY Technical Analysis. Support And Resistance Levels For April 5 /2011


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVEL :
Resistance. 3 : 84.78.
Resistance. 2 : 84.61.
Resistance. 1 : 84.45.
Support. 1 : 84.24.
Support. 2 : 84.08.
Support. 3 : 83.91.

TODAY OUTLOOK :
The bias of the USD/JPY is still in a Bullish situation, but the 84.50 level seems to be providing a strong support. It looks like today the pair will test the 84.25 level (Fibonacci Support 23.6%); if the pair can close below 84.25, in the intraday (m30/H1) charts will form a "Double Top - Adam & Eve", which means the formation of a reversal pattern, especially if the USD/JPY can break out and close below the 83.88 level, it will make this pair go and test the 83.25 support level. However, please pay attention for the today's Resistance. 3 and today's Support. 3; usually after reaching one of these levels the pair reverses between 10 pips to the 20 pips; if the pair reaches one of these levels and still goes more than 50 pips in the chosen direction, this will denote that the USD/JPY has found its tendency for today.

TODAY RECOMMENDATION :
BUY if the USD/JPY can break out and close above the 84.50 level, set Take profit at 84.63 as the first target and 84.75 (3-days high ) as the second target.

SELL if the USD/JPY can break out and close below the 84.25 level, set Take profit at 84.00 and the 83.75 as the second target.


Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011


http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26161/?x=OUE

Monday, April 4, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 4, 2011

GBP/JPY is developing impulse subwave C (colored red in the chart) within impulse wave C of medium term uptrend - colored magenta in the chart. The immediate resistances are Fibonacci expansions off 122.49-133.04-130.18, and 130.18-133.76-132.38, and also 132.38-134.42-133.84.
Resistances:
- 136.70 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 137.14 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 138.17 = XOP
If the price reverses down the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave up from 132.38 - this wave is not developed yet.



http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26059/?x=OUE

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the medium term is now up it's preferable to look for longs when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (25-30 pips below the current price) or into the oversold area (50-60 pips to go).

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 4, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 4, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 4, 2011

Friday, April 1, 2011

GBP/USD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-04-01

The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1.6030 and seems to start a rebound. However a break of these levels would release a large downside potential and would initiate a bearish trend.

According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity on the levels of 1.6030 with a 1st objective of 1.6120, then 1.6160. A break in 1.6010 would invalidate this scenario.


Performed by Albert Fitoussi, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/25967/?x=OUE