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Monday, December 26, 2011

EUR/JPY: Weekly Technical Levels for December 26th -- 30th, 2011.

Technical analysis
Mourad El Keddani


Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are good indication for the maximum range for extremely volatile days but can be exceeded occasionally.
Pivot lines work well in sideways markets as prices will most likely range between the R1 and S1 line.
In a strong trend, price will be low through a pivot point line and keep going.
If there is significant news to influence the market price may go straight through R1 or S1 and reach even R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Time Frame: H4.

Drag your Fibonacci retracement levels from the lower to the higher of the last week from 19th of November to 23rd of December, 2011 in order to determine low and high price.
Average = (Higher - Lower) / 2
Average = 101.89
  • Range was: 126 pips.
  • The value of 50% Fibonacci retracement levels is: 101.89.
  • 101.05 will be formed a strong support.
  • 102.80 will be formed a strong resistance.
  • Volatility is 1283.81 so the market has called for a high volatile.
  • It should be noted that the price has still been trapped between 100.62 and 103.14. Aswell the weekly pivot point equal the 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement levels.

    Observation (s):

    • If the strength of the trend for pair is an uptrend, then the strength of the currency: EUR is an uptrend and JPY is a downtrend.
    • Most of traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance.
    • Volatility Formulas: Variation = Average * (Higher - Lower).
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