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Tuesday, August 30, 2011

AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for August 30, 2011

AUD/USD is moving within impulse wave C (from 1.0315) of medium term uptrend - colored royal blue in the chart. Within wave C there are A, B and C subwaves (colored magenta in the chart) with subwave C still developing from 1.0418. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci expansions off 0.9928-1.0600-1.0315, 1.0315-1.0533-1.0418, 1.0418-1.0517-1.0463, 1.0463-1.0590-1.0548, 1.0548-1.0633-1.0605
Resistances:
- 1.0690 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0722 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 1.0743 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0753 = XOP
- 1.0771 = XOP
If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0418-1.0685.
Supports:
- 1.0583 = .382 retracement
- 1.0552 = .50 ret
- 1.0520 = .618 ret
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the medium term trend is up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or gets into the oversold area (5-15 pips below the current prices).

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