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Thursday, August 4, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for August 4, 2011

GBP/JPY has developed the wave from 135.11 to 124.16 and is now moving in a corrective wave against this movement. Current wave A of long term uptrend (colored light green in the chart) now has A, B and C subwaves, with subwave C still developing from 125.29 (colored red in the chart).
The immediate resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 139.94-124.16, 135.11-124.16, and expansions off 124.16-126.96-125.29.
Resistances:
- 129.63-82 = confluence area of .50 retracement and expanded objective point (XOP), already reached (!)
- 130.19 = .382 ret
- 130.93 = .618 ret
If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave up from 125.29 - this wave is not developed yet, so no supports are available so far.
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the medium term trend is now up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (120-130 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (170-200 pips below the current prices).
Read more on how to apply Fibonacci studies to calculate price targets.

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