AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for October 21, 2011

Wave analysis

Roman Molodiashin

AUD/USD is developing wave A of medium term uptrend (colored light green in the chart). Within this wave there are A, and B subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and subwave B is developing from 1.0371 against the uptrend. The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9865-1.0371, 0.9387-1.0371, and expansions off 1.0371-1.0117-1.0353.
Supports:
- 1.0118 = .50 retracement
- 1.0099 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0058 = .618 ret
- 0.9995 = .382 ret
- 0.9942 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 0.9879 = .50 ret
- 0.9763 = .618 ret
- 0.9688 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
If the price reverses to the upside and breaks above 1.0371, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci expansions off 0.9387-1.0371-1.0117, 1.0117-1.0353-1.0146.
Resistances:
- 1.0382 = OP
- 1.0528 = XOP
- 1.0725 = COP

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the larger wave is now moving up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (10-15 pips below the current prices) or gets into the oversold area (40-55 pips below the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/42047/?x=OUE

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