Roman Molodiashin
Wave analysisAUD/USD is trading within impulse wave C of medium term uptrend from 0.9861 (colored light green in the chart). In this wave we have A, B and C subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), subwave C is developing from 1.0044. Within the latter C there are A and B subwaves (colored magenta in the chart). And the targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0044-1.0386, 1.0197-1.0386, and expansions off 1.0386-1.0304-1.0372.
Immediate supports:
- 1.0292-90 = confluence area of .50 retracement and objective point (OP)
- 1.0269 = .618 ret
- 1.0255 = .382 ret
- 1.0239 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0215 = .50 ret
If the price breaks above 1.0386 and continues moving upwards, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci expansions off 0.9663-1.0379-0.9861, 0.9861-1.0218-1.0044, 1.0044-1.0386-1.0304.
Resistances:
- 1.0401 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0515 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0577 = OP
Overbought/Oversold
Since the larger wave is now moving up, it's preferable to try long positions until the price breaks below 1.0304 and when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (20-30 pips below the current prices), watch for entries long at or near the indicated supports.
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