GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C of medium term downtrend (colored light green in the chart) from 122.71, and within this wave we have three subwaves (colored magenta in the chart), and potential corrective subwave 4 that is developing against the downtrend from 118.20.
The resistances above are Fibonacci retracements of 120.14-118.20, 119.68-118.20, and expansions off 118.20-118.81-118.47.
Resistances:
- 118.85 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 118.94 = confluence area of .382 and .50 retracements
- 119.08-11 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and .618 retracement
- 119.17 = .50 ret
- 119.36 = .786 ret
- 118.94 = confluence area of .382 and .50 retracements
- 119.08-11 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and .618 retracement
- 119.17 = .50 ret
- 119.36 = .786 ret
If the price keeps declining the immediate supports will be Fibonacci expansions off 127.25-119.31-122.71, 122.71-118.94-120.14, 120.14-119.12-119.68.
Supports:
- 118.03 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 117.81-80 = confluence area of two contracted objective points (COP)
- 117.01 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 116.37 = objective point (OP)
- 117.81-80 = confluence area of two contracted objective points (COP)
- 117.01 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 116.37 = objective point (OP)
Overbought/Oversold
The bigger wave is now moving down, so it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (15-30 pips above the current prices).
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