EUR/USD Intraday Wave Analysis July 18, 2012

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EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday we performed a long term analysis for the EUR/USD pair and today we want to examine a smaller time frame for intraday traders. Yesterday during the European session we could observe an ascending movement towards the 1.2315 level and we can consider this move as the end of the C wave (coloured blue). Therefore, during the early New York session this major pair did not manage to hold this level and the price rapidly fell to the new daily low of 1.2188 (end of the D wave) where the EUR/USD pair found support and price reached 1.2300 level at the end of the NY session. At the moment we could observe the price trading around 1.2256 level and we are expecting to see it above 1.2350 level today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave E retraces minimum 100% of the wave C, we can define the potential targets by measuring C wave with Take Profit 1 at 1.2326 (100% of wave C) and Take Profit 2 at 1.2363 (127.2% of wave C). Support at 1.2210 point can be used as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts, Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies, Crude Oil Inventories and Beige Book data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2138 (S2) 1.2187 (S1) 1.2217 (PP) 1.2266 (R1) 1.2315 (R2) 1.2345 (R3) 1.2394
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.2250 with Stop Loss 1.2210, Take Profit 1 at 1.2326 and Take Profit 2 at 1.2363 are recommended.