GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 14, 2011

Roman Molodiashin

Fundamental analysis


GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are five subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with impulse subwave 5 still developing from 124.36.
The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci expansions off 130.81-123.27-127.31, 127.31-124.47-126.55, 126.55-123.04-124.36, 124.36-121.27-122.55, 122.55-121.29-121.99.
Supports:
- 120.85 = objective point (OP)
- 120.73-64 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and contracted objective point (COP)
- 119.95 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 119.77 = OP
- 119.46 = OP
- etc.
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 122.55 - this wave is not developed yet, so no resistances are available so far.

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (20-25 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (50-60 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38570/?x=OUE
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