GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 19, 2011

Roman Molodiashin

Wave analysis


GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are five subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with impulse subwave 5 still developing from 124.36. Within wave 5 there are A, B anc C subwaves of smaller degree (colored magenta in the chart), with subwave C still developing from 122.22.
The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci expansions off 130.81-123.27-127.31, 127.31-124.47-126.55, 126.55-123.04-124.36, 124.36-120.61-122.22, 122.22-120.73-121.70.
Supports:
- 120.21 = objective point (OP)
- 119.90 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 119.29 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 119.11 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 118.68 = XOP
- 118.47 = OP
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 124.36 - this wave is not developed, so no resistances are available so far.



Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (30-40 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38914/?x=OUE