Wave analysis
Roman Molodiashin
AUD/USD is developing wave A of medium term downtrend (colored royal blue in the chart). Within this wave there are A, B and C subwaves (colored red in the chart), and subwave C is still developing from 1.0427. The targets below the current price are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9387-1.0752, and expansions off 1.0752-1.0207-1.0427.
Supports:
- 1.0090 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0070 = .50 retracement
- 0.9908 = .618 ret
- 0.9882 = objective point (OP)
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0427-1.0207, 1.0752-1.0207.
Resistances:
- 1.0291 = .382 ret
- 1.0317 = .50 ret
- 1.0343 = .618 ret
- 1.0415 = .382 ret
- 1.0479 = .50 ret
- 1.0544 = .618 ret
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the larger wave is now moving down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or gets into the overbought area (25-40 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/42977/?x=OUE
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