GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for November 14, 2011

Wave analysis

Roman Molodiashin

GBP/JPY is developing corrective wave 4 (colored light green in the chart) of medium term uptrend from 127.25. Within this wave there are three subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave С is still developing from 125.63. The targets below are Fibonacci retracements of 119.93-127.25, 116.91-127.25, and expansions off 127.25-123.85-125.63, 125.63-122.90-124.22.
Supports:
- 122.73 = .618 retracement
- 122.53 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 122.23 = objective point (OP)
- 122.08 = .50 ret
- 121.50-49 = confluence area of .618 ret and OP
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 125.63-122.90, 127.25-122.90.
Resistances:
- 124.27 = .50 ret
- 124.56-59 = confluence area of .382 and .618 retracements
- 125.05-08 = confluence area of .786 and .50 ret
- 125.59 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (15-20 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (35-55 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/43714/?x=OUE

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