GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for November 22, 2011

Wave analysis

Roman Molodiashin

GBP/JPY is developing wave A (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.25. Within this wave there are three subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave С is still developing from 125.63. Within the latter there are also three subwaves (colored magenta in the chart) with impulse subwave C developing from 124.22. The wave from 124.22 also has five subwaves (colored red in the chart), with subwave 5 still developing from 121.70. The targets below are Fibonacci expansions off 127.25-123.85-125.63, 125.63-122.90-124.22, 124.22-122.26-123.09, 123.09-120.82-121.70, 121.70-119.97-120.87.
Supports:
- 119.92-80 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and two expanded objective point (XOP)
- 119.43 = objective point (OP)
- 119.14 = OP
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 124.22-119.97.
Resistances:
- 121.59 = .382 ret
- 122.10 = .50 ret
- 122.60 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (30-40 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/44356/?x=OUE

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