Wave analysis
Roman Molodiashin
AUD/USD is developing wave A of medium term downtrend (colored light green in the chart). Within this wave there are three subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with impulse subwave C still developing from 1.0343. Within the latter wave C there are also waves A, B and C (colored magenta in the chart) with subwave C still developing from 1.0106. The tragets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9387-1.0752, and expansions off 1.0752-1.0051-1.0343, 1.0343-0.9964-1.0106.Supports:
- 0.9910-08 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .618 ret
- 0.9872 = COP
- 0.9727 = objective point (OP)
- 0.9642 = OP
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 1.0343 - this wave is not developed so no resistances are available so far.
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the larger wave is now moving down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (5-10 pips above the current prices) or gets into the overbought area (40-55 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/44230/?x=OUE
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