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Monday, November 28, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for November 28, 2011

Wave analysis
Roman Molodiashin



GBP/JPY is developing wave A (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.25. Within this wave there are three subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave ะก is still developing from 125.63. Within the latter there are five subwaves (colored magenta in the chart) and potential corrective subwave A is developing from 119.31. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 121.70-119.31, 125.63-119.31, and expansions off 119.31-120.40-119.82.
Resistances:
- 120.49-51 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .50 retracement
- 120.79 = .618 ret
- 120.91 = objective point (OP)
- 121.58 = expanded objective point (XOP)
If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave up from 119.31 - this wave is not developed yet, so no supports are available so far.
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (20-30 pips above the current prices).
InstaForex

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