GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for November 2, 2011

Wave analysis

Roman Molodiashin

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) of medium term uptrend from 116.91. Within this wave there are three subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave C is still developing from 119.93. Within the latter wave there also four waves (colored magenta in the chart) with subwave 4 developing from 127.25 against the uptrend. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 130.81-116.78, and expansions off 116.78-120.78-116.91, 116.91-122.58-119.93, 120.62-127.25-124.20.
Resistances:
- 127.38 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 127.81 = .786 retracement
- 128.30 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 129.10 = expanded objective point (XOP)
If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 121.77-127.25, 120.62-127.25, and expansions off 127.25-124.20-125.21.
Supports:
- 123.94-86 = confluence area of .50 and .618 ret
- 123.33 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 123.15 = .618 ret
- 122.94 = .786 ret
- 122.16 = objective point (OP)

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (50-70 pips below the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/42873/?x=OUE

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