Wave analysis
Roman Molodiashin
AUD/USD is developing corrective wave B of medium term downtrend (colored light green in the chart) from 0.9663. Within this wave there are five subwaves (colored red in the chart) with impulse subwave 5 still developing from 0.9863. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0752-0.9663, and expansions off 0.9666-0.9975-0.9863, 0.9863-1.0077-0.9975.
Resistances:
- 1.0107 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0172 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0189 = OP
- 1.0208 = .50 retracements
- 1.0172 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0189 = OP
- 1.0208 = .50 retracements
If the pair reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9663-1.0085.
Supports:
- 0.9924 = .382 ret
- 0.9874 = .50 ret
- 0.9824 = .618 ret
- 0.9874 = .50 ret
- 0.9824 = .618 ret
Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the larger wave is now moving up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or gets into the oversold area (current prices).
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